Evicenter
P&T meetings

Juvmo

Parkinson's disease

Also known as tavapadon, CVL-751
Manufacturer
AbbVie
Regulatory submission
NDA submitted September 2025
217 sources

Section 5 of 6

Economic information and modeling report

54 evidence topics · 30 sources

Modeling overview

Summary

No cost-effectiveness analysis of tavapadon had been published before the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER) evidence report of 16 September 2026. ICER built two semi-Markov models over a lifetime horizon using a placeholder price of $15,000 per year. In early Parkinson's disease (Model 1), tavapadon cost $26,500 more than levodopa and produced 0.015 fewer QALYs. As an adjunct to levodopa in participants with motor fluctuations (Model 2), tavapadon cost $16,900 more than a dopamine agonist market basket for a gain of 0.010 QALYs, or approximately $1.7 million per QALY gained from the health care sector perspective and $2.0 million from the modified societal perspective. No positive price made tavapadon cost-effective in Model 1; the health-benefit price benchmark in Model 2 was $6,598 to $6,861 per year (health care sector) and $4,764 to $5,026 per year (modified societal). In probabilistic analyses, tavapadon was cost-effective in 24.5% of Model 1 simulations at $200,000 per evLY gained and in fewer than 10% of Model 2 simulations at every threshold. AbbVie has published no price statement. Benzinga reported on 28 September 2026 that a William Blair analyst gave a list price of $4,900 per 30-day supply, or $58,800 per year, and ICER's public meeting slides of 1 October 2026 list a reported wholesale acquisition cost of $58,800 per year; ICER's published budget impact results use the $15,000 placeholder. GlobalData forecast United States tavapadon revenue of $199 million by 2034, and AbbVie targets more than $5 billion in combined peak sales for three Parkinson's disease products, one of which is tavapadon. Published economic evaluations of other adjunctive therapies report $46,900 per QALY for opicapone versus entacapone in the United States, and a Canadian review found safinamide dominated by other adjunctive treatments.

ICER cost-effectiveness models: base-case results at the placeholder price

“Using two semi-Markov models built with real-world Parkinson’s disease data (Parkinson's Precision Medicine Initiative, Michael J Fox Foundation) and treatment effects from the TEMPO trials as well as the network meta-analyses (NMA), we estimated the cost-effectiveness of tavapadon for early Parkinson’s disease (versus levodopa) and as an adjunct to levodopa for Parkinson’s disease with motor fluctuations (versus other dopamine agonists added to levodopa). At the placeholder price of $15,000 per year, tavapadon was more costly and slightly less effective versus levodopa in early PD. The estimated cost-effectiveness for tavapadon compared with a market basket of dopamine agonists in patients already on levodopa was approximately $1.7 million per equal value life year (evLY) gained as well as per quality adjusted life year (QALY), based on a small estimate of overall benefit driven primarily by reductions in the rate of ICDs.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“Under the health care sector perspective, in Model 1 levodopa had total discounted costs of $1,056,000 with 6.716 QALYs, 6.716 evLYs, and 11.13 LYs, compared with $1,082,000, 6.701 QALYs, 6.701 evLYs, and 11.13 LYs for tavapadon; tavapadon was thus both more costly and slightly less effective than levodopa in this model. In Model 2, the dopamine agonist market basket had total discounted costs of $1,165,000 with 5.467 QALYs, 5.467 evLYs, and 9.63 LYs, compared with $1,182,000, 5.477 QALYs, 5.477 evLYs, and 9.63 LYs for tavapadon; tavapadon was thus somewhat more costly but slightly more effective than the market basket.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“In Model 1, tavapadon had an incremental cost of $26,500 and 0.015 fewer QALYs than levodopa in both the health system and modified societal perspectives. In Model 2, tavapadon had an incremental cost of $16,900 and 0.010 incremental QALYs versus the dopamine agonist market basket, yielding $1.7 million per QALY gained and per evLY gained; the cost per life year gained was not estimable because the therapies did not affect survival. In Model 2, the incremental cost rose from $16,900 under the health care sector perspective to $20,400 under the modified societal perspective, because tavapadon patients accrued more OFF-time and therefore greater productivity and care partner costs, yielding approximately $2.0 million per QALY gained.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

ICER cost-effectiveness models: sensitivity and probabilistic analyses

ICER cost-effectiveness models: scenario analyses

“Tavapadon remained less effective and more costly by levodopa in Model 1 in all scenarios except when the discontinuation rate is modified (see Table 4.6 below).” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“In this scenario, the discontinuation rate for tavapadon is zero after cycle 1. In Model 1, tavapadon goes from more costly and less effective to having a very slight improvement in evLYs/QALYs resulting from a better AE profile in later cycles. The cost per evLY/QALY for tavapadon is roughly $15 million in both perspectives.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“halving the decrement therefore raised incremental QALYs/evLYs from 0.010 to 0.016 and lowered the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio to $1.1 million per QALY/evLY gained under the health care sector perspective and $1.3 million under the modified societal perspective, compared with base-case ratios of $1.7 million and $2.0 million.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“From the modified societal perspective in Model 2, the incremental cost reduced from $20,400 in the base case to $10,900 in this scenario analysis, with a cost per QALY/evLY gained of $1.1 million.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“Tavapadon therefore remained more costly and more effective than the dopamine agonist market basket under both perspectives, albeit at higher cost-effectiveness ratios ($6.7-$7.8 million per QALY/evLY) relative to the base case.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

Catechol-O-methyltransferase inhibitors versus no adjunct, South Korea: model structure, perspective, and time horizon

“Cost-effectiveness was assessed using model simulation. The model consisted of the following two stages: Phase 1 was composed of a decision-tree model based on the results of the BIPARK clinical trial for 15 weeks; and Phase 2 used the Markov model, wherein each cycle period was one year.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“The base-case analysis used an analytic period of 37 years (lifetime), that can be captured until all 10,000 hypothetical cohort die, was conducted from the perspective of the healthcare system.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“A 4.5% discount rate recommended in Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA)’s new drug economic evaluation guidelines was applied to both costs and outcomes in our analysis.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“We defined the following three health states corresponding to the relative level of OFF-time, an indicator of the severity of advanced PD: (1) OFF-time < 25%, (2) OFF-time ≥ 25%, and (3) Death. At the start of the cohort, 10.84% of PD patients were classified under the OFF-time < 25% state and 89.16% under the OFF-time ≥ 25% state, reflecting the patient distribution at the start of BIPARK.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“In cycle 1, the probability of OFF-time improvement was 36.97% and 34.85% in patients receiving OPC and ENT, respectively.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“The probability of progression from OFF-time < 25% to ≥ 25% (0.238) was used by converting the 6-month transition probability (0.127) of the non-COMT-i group from previous literature into an annual probability.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“ICER is a measure of cost-effectiveness, and we assumed that if it is less than one GDP per capita of Korea per one quality-adjusted for quality of life (QALY), it is considered cost-effective because of its high acceptability.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“All costs were converted to the 2022 standard using the consumer price index and expressed in USD using an exchange rate of 1,300 Korean won (KRW) per one USD in early 2022” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

Catechol-O-methyltransferase inhibitors versus no adjunct, South Korea: cost and utility inputs

InputQuoted value
Opicapone drug cost per day (USD)“2.05”
Entacapone drug cost per day (USD)“0.78”
No COMT inhibitor (levodopa) drug cost per day (USD)“0.11”
Prescription cost per year (USD)“111.91”
Health state cost per year, OFF-time less than 25% (USD)“789.4”
Health state cost per year, OFF-time 25% or more (USD)“2,429.8”
Utility, OFF-time less than 25%“0.780”
Utility, OFF-time 25% or more“0.630”
Utility, OFF-time less than 25%, after 10 cycles“0.643”
Utility, OFF-time 25% or more, after 10 cycles“0.555”
Utility, OFF-time less than 25%, after 20 cycles“0.387”
Utility, OFF-time 25% or more, after 20 cycles“0.299”
Disutility, dyskinesia“0.070”

Catechol-O-methyltransferase inhibitors versus no adjunct, South Korea: sensitivity analyses

“The COMT-i vs. no COMT-i DSA result indicated that the time horizon was the most influential variable. When the time horizon is reduced to 5 or 10 years, the ICER for the OPC vs. no COMT-i group decreased to −$6,349 and −$5,775, and that for the ENT vs. no COMT-i group, the ICER decreased to −$14,129 and −$12,401” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“All ICERs were below 0 and none exceeded the South Korean WTP threshold in the COMT-i (OPC and ENT) vs. no COMT-i group DSA results” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“In contrast to the DSA results in the COMT-i vs. no COMT-i group, ICERs were most sensitive to clinically important variables such as the OFF-time improvement probability of OPC and ENT.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“At a 5-year time-horizon setting, the ICER was $106,871, roughly doubling the base-case ICER.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“If the WTP (indicating cost-effective threshold) was set as one gross domestic product (GDP) per capita ($34,758 in 2022), 89.0% of the OPC simulations and 98.0% of the ENT simulations remained the preferred option over no COMT-i for PD patients” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“Supplement Figure 4C shows that the probability of OPC being cost-effective compared to ENT was 39.1% at a WTP threshold of $34,758 per QALY gained.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

Budget impact model

Approach and framework

Perspective and time frame

Epidemiology and eligible population inputs

Antiparkinsonian drug use and drug class use among Medicare beneficiaries with prevalent Parkinson's disease, 2007 to 2010
MeasureQuoted value, 2007Quoted value, 2008Quoted value, 2009Quoted value, 2010
Total number of patients with Parkinson's disease“9482”“9626”“9566”“9503”
Number of antiparkinsonian drug users“7721”“7872”“7835”“7725”
Use of any antiparkinsonian drug, %“81”“82”“82”“81”
Levodopa use, %“90”“90”“90”“90”
Dopamine agonist use, %“31”“31”“30”“29”
MAO-B inhibitor use, %“9”“9”“10”“11”
Amantadine use, %“8”“7”“7”“7”
COMT inhibitor use, %“8”“7”“7”“6”
Concomitant medication classes at levodopa initiation among Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries, 2017 to 2019
Concomitant medication classLevodopa equivalent daily dose group (mg)Quoted n (%), immediate-release carbidopa-levodopaQuoted n (%), controlled-release plus immediate-release carbidopa-levodopaQuoted n (%), controlled-release carbidopa-levodopaQuoted n (%), extended-release carbidopa-levodopa
Total patients150 to 350“N = 67,851”“N = 2355”“N = 4363”“N = 918”
Total patients351 to 600“N = 57,919”“N = 5558”“N = 4065”“N = 1489”
Total patients601 to 900“N = 26,134”“N = 5801”“N = 1461”“N = 1257”
Total patients901 to 10,000“N = 14,884”“N = 5372”“N = 480”“N = 1334”
COMT inhibitors150 to 350“1730 (2.6)”“157 (6.7)”“76 (1.7)”“21 (2.3)”
COMT inhibitors351 to 600“3063 (5.3)”“414 (7.5)”“193 (4.8)”“40 (2.7)”
COMT inhibitors601 to 900“2246 (8.6)”“611 (10.5)”“112 (7.7)”“48 (3.8)”
COMT inhibitors901 to 10,000“1802 (12.1)”“770 (14.3)”“47 (9.8)”“67 (5.0)”
Dopamine agonists150 to 350“4500 (6.6)”“181 (7.7)”“379 (8.7)”“124 (13.5)”
Dopamine agonists351 to 600“8115 (14.0)”“789 (14.2)”“693 (17.1)”“276 (18.5)”
Dopamine agonists601 to 900“6377 (25.8)”“1234 (21.3)”“555 (38.0)”“348 (27.7)”
Dopamine agonists901 to 10,000“4743 (31.9)”“1749 (32.6)”“210 (43.8)”“431 (32.3)”
MAO-B inhibitors150 to 350“2411 (3.6)”“99 (4.2)”“213 (4.9)”“188 (20.5)”
MAO-B inhibitors351 to 600“5468 (9.4)”“536 (9.6)”“312 (7.7)”“350 (24.0)”
MAO-B inhibitors601 to 900“3067 (11.7)”“720 (12.4)”“180 (12.3)”“268 (21.3)”
MAO-B inhibitors901 to 10,000“1445 (9.7)”“689 (12.8)”“55 (11.5)”“271 (20.3)”
Amantadine150 to 350“770 (1.1)”“39 (1.7)”“56 (1.3)”“43 (4.7)”
Amantadine351 to 600“2457 (4.2)”“209 (3.8)”“157 (3.8)”“99 (6.7)”
Amantadine601 to 900“2155 (8.3)”“485 (8.3)”“195 (13.6)”“152 (12.1)”
Amantadine901 to 10,000“2049 (13.8)”“838 (15.6)”“88 (18.3)”“212 (15.9)”
Adherence and persistence after initiation of levodopa or a dopamine agonist, United States Medicaid claims
MeasureQuoted adjusted value, levodopaQuoted adjusted value, dopamine agonistQuoted p value
Mean proportion of days covered (SD)“0.621 (0.322)”“0.546 (0.343)”“0.007”
Adherent patients (proportion of days covered of 0.80 or higher)“41.4%”“33.8%”“0.060”
Mean persistent days (SD)“209.5 (114.2)”“185.4 (117.8)”“0.011”
Persistent patients“51.4%”“40.6%”“0.008”

Cost assumptions

Model outcomes

Results

Base case
Scenario analyses

Budget impact model discussion

Summary

The only budget impact analysis of tavapadon identified is the ICER potential budget impact analysis in the evidence report of 16 September 2026, which used a placeholder price of $15,000 per year because tavapadon had not yet received regulatory approval. AbbVie has published no price statement; a William Blair analyst, as reported by Benzinga on 28 September 2026, and ICER's public meeting slides of 1 October 2026 give a list price of $58,800 per year, and ICER's published budget impact results use the $15,000 placeholder. It sized an eligible United States population of 944,927 (436,786 first-line and 508,141 add-on to levodopa) and assumed that 20% would initiate treatment in each of five years. At the placeholder price, 46% of the first-line population and 59% of the add-on population could be treated before annual spending reached ICER's threshold of $821 million; at the add-on threshold prices ($4,501 to $7,123 per year), 100% could be treated. The analysis takes a health care cost perspective over five years without discounting and does not model a health plan membership. AbbVie's comments on the draft report stated that tavapadon is unlikely to displace levodopa as first-line therapy, which would reduce the first-line population the analysis includes, and that the budget-impact calculations are not presented in enough detail for independent verification. AbbVie expects a modest initial uptake because tavapadon will not be added to Medicare formularies immediately after approval. The actual budget impact will depend on the launch price and on how often tavapadon displaces generic dopamine agonists and levodopa, whose acquisition costs were $3,588 and $289 per year in the ICER models.