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Lirafugratinib

Previously treated FGFR2 fusion or rearrangement-positive cholangiocarcinoma

Also known as Lyrfigtu, RLY-4008
Regulatory submission
NDA submitted January 2026
158 sources

Section 5 of 6

Economic information and modeling report

93 evidence topics · 66 sources

Modeling overview

Summary

No cost-effectiveness analysis, budget impact model, or health technology assessment of lirafugratinib was identified, and no price had been announced as of September 2026. Elevar Therapeutics expects United States availability by the fourth quarter of 2026. Under the December 2024 license, Relay Therapeutics is eligible for up to $75 million in upfront and regulatory milestones, up to $425 million in commercial milestones, and tiered royalties up to the low-teens percentage; by June 30, 2026 Relay had received $5.0 million on execution, $3.7 million on transfer of materials, and $10.0 million in milestone payments, and remained eligible for up to $485.0 million.

Comparator economics come from pemigatinib and futibatinib. Canada's Drug Agency recommended reimbursement of pemigatinib in 2025 on condition of a price reduction, after a 2022 recommendation not to reimburse; its reanalysis estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $252,718 and $261,226 per quality-adjusted life-year versus active symptom control alone and mFOLFOX plus active symptom control, and price reductions exceeding 95% would be needed to reach $50,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. From a Taiwanese payer perspective, pemigatinib was not cost-effective over 5 years at a hypothesized price (NT$5,814,700 per quality-adjusted life-year versus mFOLFOX), whereas a lifetime analysis using final FIGHT-202 data estimated US$83,475 per quality-adjusted life-year, below the threshold applied. A Greek analysis estimated €69,928 per quality-adjusted life-year versus mFOLFOX plus active symptom control, and a United States conference poster comparing pemigatinib with gemcitabine and cisplatin reported an overall survival-based incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $183,628. NICE recommended pemigatinib in July 2021 (TA722) as a life-extending treatment at the end of life, on condition of a commercial arrangement; the company's base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, including an updated patient access scheme, were £42,076 and £45,029 per quality-adjusted life-year gained compared with mFOLFOX plus active symptom control and active symptom control alone, the committee-preferred assumptions gave between £45,051 and £45,808 and between £44,354 and £45,010, against an upper limit of £50,000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained for a life-extending treatment at the end of life. NICE recommended futibatinib (TA1005) as an alternative to pemigatinib, which it concluded was the only relevant comparator: matching-adjusted indirect comparison hazard ratios for futibatinib compared with pemigatinib were 0.95 (95% CI 0.72 to 1.21) for overall survival and 1.07 (95% CI 0.86 to 1.30) for progression-free survival, a cost comparison found similar costs, and all incremental cost-effectiveness ratios are confidential because of the confidential pemigatinib discount. A second Taiwanese analysis of a biomarker-driven regimen (pemigatinib for FGFR2 fusion-positive and mFOLFOX for fusion-negative intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma) against fluorouracil estimated NT$3,411,098 per quality-adjusted life-year, with a probability of cost-effectiveness of 53.2%, and a positive incremental net monetary benefit when the price of pemigatinib was reduced by 40%. No Institute for Clinical and Economic Review assessment was identified. A systematic review of 20 economic studies in biliary tract cancer concluded that most current-price targeted agents were not cost-effective in the jurisdictions studied. Worldwide net revenue of pemigatinib across all indications was $86.7 million in 2025.

Economic model, cost-effectiveness analysis, or health technology assessment of lirafugratinib

No evidence found.

Announced price of lirafugratinib

No evidence found.

Partnership economics for lirafugratinib: payments received and milestones outstanding

Health technology assessment of pemigatinib in Canada: 2025 reimbursement recommendation

Health technology assessment of pemigatinib in England: comparators and committee-preferred ICERs

“The clinical experts advised that the relevant comparators currently used in routine clinical practice include mFOLFOX+ASC and ASC alone. The committee concluded that these are the most appropriate comparators for this appraisal.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“It concluded that the matching adjusted indirect comparison suggests pemigatinib was more effective than the comparators, but that this was uncertain.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“For the short life-expectancy criterion, the company's base-case model estimated a mean undiscounted life expectancy of 8.0 months for mFOLFOX+ASC and 7.3 months for ASC alone. For the life-extension criterion, the company's base-case model estimated an undiscounted mean incremental life expectancy with pemigatinib of 25.6 months compared with mFOLFOX+ASC and 26.4 months compared with ASC alone.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“For a life-extending treatment at the end of life, the upper limit of the range usually considered to represent a cost-effective use of NHS resources is £50,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. The committee noted that the company's new base-case ICERs for pemigatinib, including an updated patient access scheme, were £42,076 per QALY gained compared with mFOLFOX+ASC, and £45,029 per QALY gained compared with ASC alone.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“Using these preferred assumptions, the ICER was between £45,051 and £45,808 per QALY gained compared with mFOLFOX+ASC, and between £44,354 and £45,010 per QALY gained compared with ASC alone.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“Other scenarios, including using the generalised gamma curve to extrapolate long-term survival with pemigatinib, resulted in higher ICERs.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“It concluded that the cost-effectiveness estimates for pemigatinib suggest it is an acceptable use of NHS resources for a life-extending treatment at the end of life. So pemigatinib was recommended for routine use in the NHS.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

Health technology assessment of futibatinib in England: comparator, indirect comparison, and cost comparison

“The EAG suggested that mFOLFOX should also be considered as a comparator because it may still be used in this population.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“But it noted that the company had positioned futibatinib as an alternative to pemigatinib, rather than after pemigatinib, so it could not evaluate futibatinib in this positioning. The committee considered the clinical expert's view that all people with a known FGFR2 alteration would have pemigatinib. It concluded that pemigatinib was the only relevant comparator.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“MAIC (adjusted) hazard ratios for futibatinib compared with pemigatinib were 0.95 (95% CI 0.72 to 1.21) for overall survival and 1.07 (95% CI 0.86 to 1.30) for progression-free survival.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“The committee concluded that there was no clear evidence of a difference in efficacy between pemigatinib and futibatinib.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“The company's resulting QALY weight of 1.2 was validated by the EAG. The committee concluded that the severity weight of 1.2 applied to the QALYs was appropriate.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“Because pemigatinib has a confidential discount, all ICERs are confidential and cannot be reported here.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“The committee concluded that the cost for futibatinib was similar to that of pemigatinib. It agreed that the cost-effectiveness estimates for futibatinib were within the range that NICE considers an acceptable use of NHS resources. So, the committee recommended futibatinib as an alternative option to pemigatinib for previously treated locally advanced or metastatic cholangiocarcinoma with FGFR2 fusion or rearrangement.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

Institute for Clinical and Economic Review assessment of FGFR inhibitors in cholangiocarcinoma

No evidence found.

Budget impact model

Approach and framework

Budget impact model of lirafugratinib: approach and framework

No evidence found.

Model structures used in economic evaluations of FGFR inhibitors in cholangiocarcinoma

Perspective and time frame

Budget impact model of lirafugratinib: perspective and time frame

No evidence found.

Epidemiology and eligible population inputs

Budget impact model of lirafugratinib: eligible population inputs

No evidence found.

Advanced disease, palliative systemic chemotherapy, and genomic profiling in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma at 8 United States centers
Measure in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomaValue
Total number of patients with advanced disease (locally advanced, primary metastatic, recurrent metastatic)“543 (88.9%)”
Treated with palliative systemic chemotherapy“388/589 (65.9%)”
Patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma and FGFR2 fusions evaluable for first-line and second-line treatment at one United States center
Treatment lineEvaluable patients with FGFR2 fusions, n
First-line treatment“15”
Second-line treatment“11”

Cost assumptions

Budget impact model of lirafugratinib: cost assumptions

No evidence found.

United States monthly price of futibatinib, an FGFR inhibitor comparator
United States drug cost inputs per treatment cycle for regimens used in advanced biliary tract cancer
DrugBaseline cost in the United States, USD per cycle
Gemcitabine“15.06”
Cisplatin“8.72”
Durvalumab“11,730”
Oxaliplatin“26.76”
Calcium folinate“52.48”
Fluorouracil“18.57”
Irinotecan“35.88”
Capecitabine“180.6”
Regorafenib“21,546”
Grade 3 or 4 adverse reactions with pemigatinib in the United States label (N=146)
Adverse reactionAll grades (%)Grades 3 or 4 (%)
Hypophosphatemia“23”“12”
Nail toxicity“43”“2.1”
Palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia syndrome“15”“4.1”
Stomatitis“35”“5”
Fatigue“42”“4.8”
Arthralgia“25”“6”
Grade 3 adverse reactions and grade 3 or 4 phosphate decrease with futibatinib in the United States label (N=103)
Adverse reactionAll grades (%)Grade 3 (%)
Nail toxicity“47”“1.9”
Palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia syndrome“21”“4.9”
Stomatitis“30”“6”
Fatigue“37”“8”
Laboratory abnormalityAll grades (%)Grades 3 or 4 (%)
Decreased phosphate“50”“20”
United States hospitalization cost per grade 3 or 4 adverse event, 2020 United States dollars
Adverse eventUnit cost
Arthralgia“$6513”
Palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia syndrome“$6480”
Stomatitis“$8930”
Fatigue“$7979”

Model outcomes

Budget impact model of lirafugratinib: model outcomes

No evidence found.

Results

Base case
Budget impact model of lirafugratinib: base-case results

No evidence found.

Base-case cost-effectiveness of pemigatinib from the Taiwanese payer perspective
Base-case costs and outcomes of the Taiwanese cost-effectiveness analysis of a biomarker-driven pemigatinib regimen
Estimate, 2021 NT$Current regimen (fluorouracil)New regimen (pemigatinib or mFOLFOX by FGFR2 status)
Total cost“524,472”“984,168”
Genetic testing fee“0”“30,000”
Medication cost“63,430”“387,176”
Non-medication cost“305,799”“378,437”
Total cost of progressed disease state“155,243”“188,555”
OutcomeCurrent regimen (fluorouracil)New regimen (pemigatinib or mFOLFOX by FGFR2 status)Incremental change
Life-years, overall“0.67”“0.86”“0.19”
QALYs, overall“0.47”“0.61”“0.13”
Scenario analyses
Budget impact model of lirafugratinib: scenario analyses

No evidence found.

Price and time-horizon scenarios for pemigatinib from the Taiwanese payer perspective
Price and model scenarios in the Taiwanese cost-effectiveness analysis of a biomarker-driven pemigatinib regimen

“The deterministic sensitivity analysis revealed that the utility of the progression-free state, the drug cost of pemigatinib, the drug cost of mFOLFOX, and the utility of the progressed disease state played vital roles in the CEA results (Fig. 2).” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“The scenario analysis showed that the CEA was not sensitive to the change in the survival distribution function, while using log-logistic distributions for all PFS curves and OS curves slightly increased the probability of being cost effective to 55.1% (Fig. 4). The price scenario showed that the new regimen was cost effective with a probability of more than 60% and gained a positive INMB when the price of pemigatinib was reduced by 40% (Fig. 4).” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“The probability that the new regimen is cost effective would be 76.4% if effectiveness was considered in life-years instead of QALYs (Fig. 4). When assuming adverse events incurred every cycle during the first 6 months and over the entire time horizon, the probability of the new regimen being cost effective dramatically reduced to 41% and 36.3%, respectively (Fig. 4).” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

“Most of the uncertainty came from utilities and drug costs; the expected value of perfect information showed that the new regimen with pemigatinib/modified FOLFOX had a relatively low opportunity cost.” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)

ScenarioICER, NT$ per QALYINMB, NT$Probability of being cost-effective
Base case“3,411,098”“-70,268”“53.2%”
90% price of pemigatinib“3,252,339”“-48,873”“54.9%”
80% price of pemigatinib“3,093,579”“-27,478”“56.3%”
70% price of pemigatinib“2,934,819”“-6,083”“59.3%”
60% price of pemigatinib“2,776,060”“15,313”“62.6%”
50% price of pemigatinib“2,617,300”“36,708”“66.0%”

Budget impact model discussion

Summary

No budget impact model of lirafugratinib has been published and no price has been announced, so its budget effect cannot be estimated from public evidence. The population inputs a payer would need are available in part: about 8,000 people in the United States are diagnosed with bile duct cancer each year, FGFR2 fusions or rearrangements occur in 10% to 16% of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinomas and in approximately 9% of profiled cholangiocarcinomas, 46% of participants with advanced biliary tract cancer in one United States claims cohort initiated second-line therapy, and Relay Therapeutics estimated approximately 11,000 late-line United States patients annually with FGFR2-mediated cancers of any tumour type.

Comparator costs are partly public. A United States retail price of $44,000 per month has been reported for futibatinib, and Canada's Drug Agency estimated pemigatinib at $15,499 per 28 days, with a 3-year public budget impact of $63,606,331 that it considered an underestimate because costs beyond 1 year of treatment were not captured. In England, NICE reports list prices of £7,159.04 for a pack of 14 pemigatinib 13.5 mg tablets, an annual cost of £124,430, and £2,386.33 per pack of futibatinib, both supplied at confidential discounts, and assumed the same time on treatment for futibatinib and pemigatinib. Real-world all-cause health care costs among United States participants treated with pemigatinib were $11,139 per patient per month, and all-cause costs during second-line therapy for advanced biliary tract cancer were $22,617 per patient per month.

Three features of lirafugratinib bear on a budget model. Treatment continues until progression and median progression-free survival in the pivotal cohort was 11.3 months, against 7.0 months for pemigatinib and 9.0 months for futibatinib in their pivotal trials, so drug cost per treated patient depends on duration as well as price. Required ophthalmologic examinations with optical coherence tomography occur every 2 months for 13 months and every 4 months thereafter, compared with every 2 months for 6 months and every 3 months thereafter for the comparators. FGFR2 testing costs are material: the Canadian estimate was about $38,000 per eligible patient identified, NICE estimated £340 for each additional FGFR2-positive person identified by adding FGFR2 to the NHS panel test, a Taiwanese model applied a genetic testing fee of NT$30,000, and the lirafugratinib companion diagnostic had not yet been specified in labeling at approval.