Economic information and modeling report
Modeling overview
30 evidence topics · 28 sources
Summary
No economic model, cost-effectiveness analysis, budget impact analysis, or health technology assessment of RP-A501 was identified, and Rocket Pharmaceuticals has announced no price. The company presentation of October 2026 schedules a biologics license application for late 2028 and marks a launch in mid-2029. The same presentation estimates 10,000 to 11,000 people with Danon disease in the United States (about 4,000 male and 6,000 to 7,000 female) and more than 20,000 across the United States and five European countries, reports more than 900 identified United States patients (a diagnosis rate under 10%), and gives an illustrative, non-risk-adjusted global peak annual opportunity of more than $1 billion for males with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and more than $2 billion with expansion to other segments. The Form 10-K filed in February 2026 states a prevalence of 15,000 to 30,000 in the United States and Europe and states that the company has not begun efforts to obtain reimbursement. One third-party forecast, attributed to GlobalData in August 2025, is $364 million in sales by 2031. The company owes a low single digit royalty on net sales to the University of California San Diego and royalties in the high single digits to low teens to REGENXBIO, with 20% of any priority review voucher fees; Rocket sold a voucher from another product for gross proceeds of $180 million in June 2026.
Wholesale acquisition costs or list prices reported at launch for 11 one-time gene therapies range from $425,000 per eye (Luxturna, 2018) to $4.25 million (Lenmeldy, 2024). The systemic AAV products among them are Zolgensma at $2.125 million (2019), Hemgenix at $3.5 million (2022), Elevidys at $3.2 million (2023), Genglycos at $2.7 million (2026), and Fayuvi, an AAV9 product approved in September 2026, at $3.95 million. An analysis of 27 gene therapies authorized by January 1, 2026 found a wholesale acquisition cost for 26 and a median inflation-adjusted price of $2,316,863 for the 25 single-use entries. The Institute for Clinical and Economic Review set a value-based price benchmark of $1.1 million to $1.9 million for Zolgensma and a health benefit price benchmark of approximately $3,000,000 for Hemgenix after capping cost offsets at $150,000 per year, and its methods for single and short-term therapies add optimistic and conservative benefit scenarios and two shared-savings analyses. Milliman estimates 2025 billed charges of $1,918,700 for a heart transplant in the United States, the procedure the company describes as the only definitive treatment.
Payer management precedents are outcomes-based and pay-over-time contracts (five years for Zolgensma; a refund of up to 80% within two years for Zynteglo; three years for Lyfgenia), qualified treatment center networks (Lenmeldy; Kresladi, the first approved product of Rocket Pharmaceuticals), and the Cell and Gene Therapy Access Model of the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, which began with sickle cell disease gene therapies and state participation from January 2025. In August 2021, 53.5% of commercial and 68.3% of Medicaid coverage policies for 11 cell and gene therapies imposed restrictions. Medicaid spending on gene and RNA therapies for rare inherited conditions rose from $148.3 million in 2017 to $879.7 million in 2022, and 11 states carved spinal muscular atrophy drugs out of managed Medicaid beginning in 2021.
Published economic model of RP-A501
No evidence found.
Cost-effectiveness or budget impact analysis of RP-A501
No evidence found.
Health technology assessment of RP-A501
No evidence found.
Announced price or pricing guidance for RP-A501
No evidence found.
Company population funnel: estimated United States and European population, October 2026
“ESTIMATED DANON POPULATION 10-11K PATIENTS” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)
“~6-7K Female” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)
Company population statement in the annual report, February 2026
Company population funnel: identified patients and diagnosis rate, October 2026
Company statements on peak commercial opportunity, October 2026
“$1B+ GLOBAL PEAK ANNUAL OPPORTUNITY” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)
“$2B+ GLOBAL PEAK ANNUAL OPPORTUNITY” (opens the source at this quote in a new tab)
Company commercial plans: diagnosis before launch, October 2026
Company commercial plans: manufacturing, diagnosis coding, and filing regions
Company treatment center model for its first approved gene therapy, August 2026
Company statements on coverage and reimbursement, February 2026
Royalty and voucher obligations on RP-A501
Priority review voucher: eligibility of RP-A501 and proceeds of the 2026 voucher sale by the company
Company statements on orphan and biologic exclusivity, February 2026
Company statement on the Inflation Reduction Act, February 2026
Company statement on the Inflation Reduction Act specific to RP-A501
No evidence found.
Third-party sales forecast for RP-A501, August 2025
Benchmark list price: onasemnogene abeparvovec (Zolgensma), systemic AAV9, May 2019
Benchmark list price: rebisufligene etisparvovec (Fayuvi), systemic AAV9, September 2026
Benchmark list price: delandistrogene moxeparvovec (Elevidys), systemic AAVrh74, June 2023
Benchmark list price: etranacogene dezaparvovec (Hemgenix), systemic AAV5, November 2022
Benchmark list price: pariglasgene brecaparvovec (Genglycos), systemic AAV8, August 2026
Benchmark list price: intrathecal onasemnogene abeparvovec (Itvisma), November 2025
Benchmark list price: voretigene neparvovec (Luxturna), subretinal AAV2, January 2018
Benchmark list prices: one-time ex vivo gene therapies, 2022 to 2024
Launch prices of gene therapies authorized in the United States as of January 1, 2026: cross-product analysis
ICER assessment of onasemnogene abeparvovec: placeholder price, cost per quality-adjusted life-year, and value-based price benchmark
ICER assessment of etranacogene dezaparvovec: health benefit price benchmark with capped cost offsets
| Product | Unit price to achieve $50,000 per QALY gained | Unit price to achieve $100,000 per QALY gained | Unit price to achieve $150,000 per QALY gained | Unit price to achieve $200,000 per QALY gained |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etranacogene dezaparvovec, with savings capped at $150,000 per year | “$2,894,000” | “$2,926,000” | “$2,958,000” | “$2,990,000” |
| Valoctocogene roxaparvovec, with savings capped at $150,000 per year | “$1,951,000” | “$1,956,000” | “$1,961,000” | “$1,966,000” |
ICER methods for single and short-term therapies: benefit scenarios and shared savings
Outcomes-based agreements for one-time gene therapies: terms stated by manufacturers
CMS Cell and Gene Therapy Access Model: design and initial scope
Coverage restrictions on cell and gene therapies in commercial and Medicaid policies, August 2021
Medicaid spending on gene and RNA therapies and managed care carve-outs, 2017 to 2022
Payer coverage policy or prior authorization criteria naming RP-A501
No evidence found.